ABSTRACT
When the pandemic was at its peak, it was a quite difficult task for the government to schedule vaccine supply in various districts of a state. This task became further difficult when vaccines were required to be supplied to various Covid Vaccination Centers (CVCs) at a granular level. This is because there was no data regarding the trend being acquired at each CVC and the population distribution is non-uniform across the district. This led to the arousal of an ambiguous situation for a certain period and hence mismanagement. Now that we have sufficient data across each CVC, we can work on a time series analysis of vaccine requirements in which we can essentially forecast the number of administered doses and optimize the wastage at all atomic CVC levels. © 2023 IEEE.
ABSTRACT
In order to tackle the Corona Virus Disease, it took a considerable amount of time for the governments to come up with effective and efficient vaccines. After the vaccines were developed, the next challenge was to supply the vaccines to various designated centers based on demographics, population distribution, and other factors. The whole system for vaccine supply played a vital role during the COVID-19 pandemic. We also saw a lot of haphazard and mismanagement in some places especially when the cases per day surged high, as people weren't prepared for such a situation. Now that we have got enough data, we can use it to optimize the vaccine supply across various Covid Vaccination Centers and be prepared for any such circumstances in the future. In this paper, we have proposed a two-step approach where considering the past supply and wastage data we performed a classification task that indicates whether doses are to get wasted at a given center. If yes, we then perform demand forecasting based on the number of administered doses so that the wastage can be reduced, and supply can be optimized. © 2022 IEEE.